25 Jan 2023 3:33 pm
On the northernmost front of the war of the collective West against Russia in the former Ukrainian Soviet Republic, Kharkov-Svatovo, both sides treat themselves to something like an operational break – but make no mistake, it is used to prepare for upcoming battles, according to Yuri Podoljaka in his overview as of January 24, 2023.
On the other hand, Russia’s troops are on the move on the southernmost active sector of the front – Zaporozhye: From there there are reports of the capture of several enemy company bases after preliminary artillery preparation.
Nevertheless, the journalist reasoned, Zaporozhye should not currently be the main sector of the front – and the events on the Donbass front prove him right: The complete conversion of the Ukrainian garrison in Artemowsk, this most important logistics hub in the Donbass, which still remains under Kiev’s control, seems a question of days; but the same is true of Seversk to the north, and Ugledar and Avdeyevka to the south. The latter city is almost as important as Artemovsk in this context – Donetsk has been shelled from Avdeyevka, its satellite town, for almost nine years, almost a year of which was particularly intense.
Yuri Podolyaka is a Ukrainian political blogger (his channel on YouTube had 2.6 million subscribers before it was deleted by the platform’s administration) and journalist from Sumy (he has lived in Sevastopol, Russia since 2014), whose insights in the period from the beginning of the intervention became increasingly popular in the Russian media. His analysis outputs only come up with a few figures – but he gives a good understanding of the spatial extent of the respective developments by working with maps and occasionally offers short-term forecasts.
On the one hand, Podoljaka uses openly accessible data as sources: These are reports from eyewitnesses in the social media as well as reports from the Russian and Ukrainian defense ministries. On the other hand, he cites insider sources: In addition to those in the people’s militias and security organs of the Russian People’s Republics of Donetsk and Lugansk, these are those in the Ukrainian security and government authorities, which he claims to still maintain due to old relationships from his time as a Ukrainian journalist. To use the current intelligence jargon, Yuri Podoljaka is primarily an OSINT analyst.
more on the subject – Podoljaka’s weekly review: For Kyiv, the dominoes are shaking all over the front