As to Axel Kicillof, Analogies describes a similar trajectory. The governor has 42.3 percent thumbs up and 54.6 percent thumbs down. He came to have 33 and 63 respectively and consolidates a good recovery.
In electoral terms, Analogías estimates that “the support base of the Frente de Todos in its National and Provincial versions orbits around 45 provincial points” which means 3 points above PASO 2021 and 7 points below what it had. in 2020.
The analysis that accompanies the numbers combines two factors for the numbers that are reversed today: the depression due to the electoral defeat of 2021, which configured “the worst moment of the Front of All” and the need to resolve the salary depression.
He also points out that the crisis of the ruling party did not achieve “a symmetrical expansion of the first opposition space”, that is, Together. It is also interesting that he describes a band of “moderate officialism” whose composition fluctuates between 15 and 20 points that “are generally Peronist voters” and that “do not have an intense interest in politics.”
Analogías maintains that these soft segments decreased their support for the Government and recommends that the ruling party “tune in” with those sectors that “demand more firmness and authority in resolving specific issues” to reconstitute the majority.
Beyond the electoral question, the study reports an improvement in economic expectations, which “return to the value equivalent to the 2021 election after having reached minimum levels in 2022.”
44 percent of those surveyed expect economic activity “the same as or greater than in 2022”, 32 percent believe it will be less. However, 44 percent believe that real income will deteriorate.