You are currently viewing Tezanos defends himself from criticism for the CIS errors: "My activity is not magic or divination"

The Center for Sociological Research (CIS) has published a statement in which it defends its surveys on the elections in Castilla y León, stressing that its activity It’s not “magic” or “fortune telling” and that other pollsters were more flawed in their forecasts.

As he explains, the PSOE has obtained 30.1% of the votes“exactly the same” as the first pre-election survey of the CIS, completed on January 22, 22 days before the vote, and seven tenths less than the Flash Survey completed on February 2 (11 days before).

And he adds that the PP has obtained 31.4% of the votes, with a deviation of 1.6 tenths regarding the latest estimate made by the CIS, but believes that this gap “is within the theoretical margins of error” and stresses that its 31 seats are within the range of its work. Of course, they put a wide range of five seats, between 27 and 32 attorneys.

“The results of the elections held on February 13 in Castilla y León have shown that the forecasts of some polling companies that predicted a large majority of votes and seats for the PP have not been fulfilled,” replies the body chaired by the sociologist socialist Jose Felix Tezanos.

We can, inflated

The CIS boasts of having corrected the results of the local parties, such as Soria Ya or the Unión del Pueblo Leonés, but does not mention his ‘inflated’ forecast of United We Can and Citizens, and only admits that “the votes and seats obtained by Vox have been significantly higher” than the CIS estimates, but “also from most of the published polls.”

In any case, the statement insists on one of the dogmas that Tezanos has repeated in his public appearances, emphasizing that the validity of his data “can never be claimed to go beyond the moment in which the field work was carried out” and that his investigative work is situated “on the level of scientific procedure, and not on that of magic and/or divination”.

“The data from the CIS surveys is published in full detail on its website, with very detailed warnings and specifications which highlight that these surveys must be interpreted and evaluated within the framework of what sociological research really is, with theoretical margins of error that correspond to the breadth of the samples and the rigor of the field work carried out”, he insists.


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