The doctor John Joseph Badiola, director of the Center for Communicable Diseases at the University of Zaragoza, spoke this week on the program The afternoon from Cadena Cope, and gave some clues about the current situation of the pandemic and its evolution.
“I prefer to be optimistic,” he said, adding that “what was planned is being fulfilled”. “The data clearly points to a progressive but slight decline,” Badiola said at Cope’s microphones.
“I think we are really reaching the peak of the omicron pandemic. The forecasts are that the decline is going to be rapid, we have seen it in other countries, especially in South Africa. I am convinced that this is going to happen in these 15 days that remain of the month of January and will be consolidated in February“, he claimed.
“It’s a Gaussian bell, if the rise is slow, the downward trend is similar. When these epidemic outbreaks go up quickly, it is logical that they also go down quickly. Why? Well there are fewer people to infect. Theoretically, vaccinated people become infected, that is true, although the effect of the vaccine barrier is behaving quite firmly in Spain,” he said.
On how this wave has affected, Badiola said: “Primary care has indeed been affected in a significant way. Some communities are close to worrying limits with ICUs,” he said, although he rules out, in his opinion, “that the hospital health system is in danger”.
“The theory that the best thing is that we all get infected, does not seem to me to be received. The false impression has been transmitted that this variant is contagious, but who always behaves in a mild and benign manner. That is not true as long as we know that there are people who are in hospitals, also infected by omicron and some in ICUs. Each organism reacts in a way. You have to be careful,” Badiola said.
But the future is not without danger. “This virus has us accustomed to a constant surprise. The main risk is that there is a new variant, that there are already out there,” Badiola said.
“Hopefully it doesn’t happen, although it can’t be guaranteed. We must bridge the period of time between now and summer. As long as a good part of the world does not reach reasonable vaccination rates, the risk of a new variant is high. The more transmission, the easier it is for new variants to occur,” concluded the doctor.