Deaths from COVID-19 in China would be 366 times more than reported

The Chinese regime likely underreported the actual death toll from COVID-19 by as much as 17,000% in a systematic campaign of data suppression, according to an analysis by a US economist and published by The Epoch Times.

This would put the number of deaths from COVID-19 in China at around 1.7 million, rather than 4,636, the two-year cumulative death toll that Chinese authorities have kept on record. That is, it would be 366 times higher than the official figure.

The Chinese regime only reported two more deaths since April 1, 2020, making China the country with the lowest COVID-19 death rate in the world, which Zhong Nanshan, the Chinese epidemiologist, boasted. overseeing the response to the outbreak in China last week.

But that astounding figure, hundreds of times lower than that of the United States, made George Calhoun reflect.

“That’s impossible. It’s medically impossible, it’s statistically impossible,” Calhoun, director of the quantitative finance program at Stevens Institute of Technology, told NTD, an Epoch Times media partner.

“Remember that in 2020 there was no vaccine, there was no treatment,” he said. “So you had an unprotected population that has shown zero deaths from COVID, even though they’ve had tens of thousands of cases.”

The first “irrefutable evidence” is a sudden drop in COVID-19 deaths since April 2020 in mainland China, after a “severe” infection rate, Calhoun said.

From April 1, 2020, to January 8, 2022, there have been more than 22,102 cases in mainland China, according to data from the Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center. Only two deaths were recorded in the same period.

By comparison, Hong Kong, which accounted for about half of COVID-19 infections during the period, reported 213 deaths.

The case fatality rate (the proportion of those infected who died) in Wuhan during the first three months of the pandemic stood at an average of 7.7%, more than five times higher than that of the United States and four times the world average.

There are two possibilities: either the virus was “much deadlier in early 2020 in Wuhan than anywhere else, at any other time,” or China’s official infection numbers were too small by a factor of three or four. Calhoun said.

Relying on a model developed by The Economist, Calhoun said excess mortality in China was around 17,000%, which would mean authorities reported just 1% of the total number of COVID-19 deaths.

A study published in The Lancet last March claimed that up to 968,800 people in Wuhan had antibodies in April 2020, which would mean they had developed immunity to the virus after being infected.

The inconsistencies in the data are not just limited to Wuhan. During a two-week period in February 2020, an internal document from Shandong health authorities showed that nearly 2,000 people had tested positive for the virus, but only 755 infections were publicly recorded.

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