The “typically winter” anticyclonic weather, with slightly cloudy skies, morning fog in some areas, low temperatures and night frosts but with hardly any rain will predominate this weekend and next week in much of the Peninsula and the Balearic Islands, as reported by the State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) .
Thus, the AEMET forecasts that there will be frosts in much of the northern, central and eastern interior of the Peninsula, as well as in the Balearic Islands, and will be more intense in the Pyrenees. However, it forecasts that there will be some weak, scattered and occasional rainfall “only” in the southeastern third of the peninsula, the area of the Strait and the west of the Balearic Islands, although on Sunday they may also affect Galicia and other areas of the Balearic Islands and the Canary Islands.
The wind will blow from Levante strong in the Strait area on Friday and then it will tend to die down. As to Canary Islands, the AEMET predicts that there is likely to be haze and it does not rule out that it could be punctually intense, and intense winds will arrive from the southeast that will blow strong on Sunday and that day there will be a probability of precipitation.
In the next few mornings, frost will continue to be noticeable in some areas 🥶🧤, with records of up to -5ºC in provincial capitals.
🗺️ More maps: https://t.co/aLIaCHWFTR pic.twitter.com/2KZQ0rTV9Q
— Meteored | weather.com (@MeteoredES) January 14, 2022
Looking ahead to next week, in the Canary Islands the winds will continue to blow from the southeast with intervals of strong, temperatures will drop and rainfall will be abundant especially in the western islands.
Meanwhile, on the Peninsula and the Balearic Islands the skies will remain cloudy next week although the AEMET does not rule out some light rain in the eastern Cantabrian or upper Ebro and intervals of strong wind, from the east in the Strait and from the north in Ampurdán.
The rest of the week is likely to be keep anticyclonic, dry and sunny weather in most of the Peninsula, without ruling out some occasional weak rainfall in the extreme north of the Peninsula, the Mediterranean area and the Strait. In any case, no snowfall is expected.
In terms of temperatures, they will also continue without major changes and there will be frosts in large areas of the interior north, center and east of the Peninsula and will be more intense in the northern half, especially in the Pyrenees.
The winds in the Peninsula and the Balearic Islands will tend to be light and the east component will predominate, with strong intervals in the Strait and on the north coast of Galicia.
‘Filomena’ by the end of January?
In January of last year, much of the country suffered the consequences of the storm Filomena, which brought numerous and lasting snowfalls, especially in the center and east of the peninsula. But this year the scenario is completely different, as stated by José Antonio Maldonado, director of meteorology at Meteored (tiempo.com).
The Filomena storm was very adverse and this is confirmed by the records, highlighting the thickness of snow in La Pobla de Cérvoles (Lleida) with 63 centimeters and from Cavacés (Tarragona) with 57.4 cm. In Roque de los Muchachos (Santa Cruz de Tenerife) 56 cm were reached, in Madrid (Retiro) close to 53 cm, Toledo 51 cm and in Vilafranca (Castellón) they approached half a meter.
The lowest temperatures were in Torremocha del Jiloca (Teruel) with -26.5 ºC, in Bello (Teruel) with temperatures of -25.4 ºC, as well as in Molina de Aragón (Guadalajara) where temperatures reached -25.2 ºC.
There had not been a storm of this magnitude since January 1971 and, after 50 years without a similar event and following the models it is unlikely to happen again.
What will the second fortnight be like?
During the second half of this month, thermometers will mark low values in almost all the peninsular territory and the Balearic archipelago with frost in almost all the interior, leaving the western half of Andalusia, the Mediterranean coast and the west of Galicia at least until the 24th. In Canary Islands there will be a soft atmosphere with midday temperatures slightly above 20 ºC and minimum temperatures around 16 or 17 ºC.
In the last week of the month, the frosts will probably continue to occur in almost the entire territory, with the possibility that some weak ones will also be registered in southwestern capitals such as Seville and Cordoba. At some points they will form enduring fog banks, especially in the Castilian-Leonese plateau.
The rains will be scarce. Isolated and low intensity. There will be a greater probability of precipitation in the Pyrenees. It could also rain lightly in the north of the Canary archipelago.