College Football Choices Against Spread Week 7: Will Georgia Cover?

Welcome to Before The Snap, For The Win’s college football series where we’ll break down the sport’s trending storylines, take a look at each week’s biggest clashes, and follow the college football and Heisman Trophy playoff races.

Ahead of Week 7 of this crazy college football season, Before The Snap was joined by BetFTW editor-in-chief Caroline Darney for a few picks against the spread in some of this week’s best games.

And, especially after the madness of week 6, the photo of college football this year is nowhere near what we expected. Georgia are undefeated and No. 1 in the country, Cincinnati is higher than a loss in Alabama, the Big Ten have five top 10-ranked teams and two-loss Clemson isn’t even ranked in the AP poll. So who knows what the college football playoff photo will look like in a few weeks?

What we do know is that when it comes to lines and over-unders for Week 7, the potential of a few teams may have been overestimated, giving us some confident ATS picks. Let’s break it down with all the betting information by Tipico Sportsbook from Wednesday.

No.11 Kentucky vs. No.1 Georgia (-22.5)

(Photo AP/Aneth Butch)

When: Saturday, October 16, 3:30 p.m. ET
Or: Sanford Stadium, Athens, Georgia
Channel: SCS
O/U : 44,5

As the nation’s No.1 team, Georgia also has the best defense, allowing just 201.2 yards and 5.5 points per game. And while it’s certainly possible for the Bulldogs to crush the Wildcats, Kentucky deserves a little more credit for going 6-0 at this point with a win over Florida earlier in October. We expect Georgia to beat Kentucky, but no more than three touchdowns.

No. 10 Michigan State (-4.5) in Indiana

When: Saturday, October 16, noon ET
Or: Memorial Stadium, Bloomington, Indiana
Channel: FS1
O/U : 48,5

The state of Michigan tends to have issues with seemingly harmless Big Ten teams, like Indiana, which beat the Spartans 24-0 last season. Now the two teams look and play very different this year, but we’re not fooled by Michigan State’s Top 10 standings. The Spartans’ best victory this season has been against a poor Miami team, and their defense is still allowing 420.5 yards per game. We think Indiana pulls off the surprise or Michigan State saves its undefeated season with a late score.

TCU at No. 4 in Oklahoma (-13.5)

When: Saturday, October 16, 7:30 p.m. ET
Or: Memorial Stadium, Norman, Oklahoma
Channel: abc
O/U : 65,5

Oklahoma being favored by nearly two touchdowns seems to be a bit of an exaggeration here. With the exception of the Sooners’ obscene 76-0 victory over Western Carolina, they have won all of their other games with no more than seven points. Aside from that unbalanced victory, Oklahoma have won their other games with 28 points overall with an average winning margin of 5.6. Plus, it’s in a sticky situation with a quarterback battle between original starter Spencer Rattler and Caleb Williams, who replaced Rattler against Texas last week and led the team to victory. If Oklahoma wins it won’t be by nearly two touchdowns, but TCU could steal a win here.

Pitt (-4.5) at Virginia Tech

When: Saturday, October 16, 3:30 p.m. ET
Or: Stade Lane, Blacksburg, Virginie
Channel: ESPN2
O/U : 57,5

This is a crucial game in the CCA Coastal Race – stay with us here! – and it’s hard to predict what we’ll see. Virginia Tech had Notre Dame on the ropes until a late placement brought the Fighting Irish to a win, and Pitt lost to Western Michigan to open the season and has just two games against the P5 competition. But Pitt’s quarterback Kenny Pickett is still one of the best in the conference, so we’re predicting a Panthers win, but maybe just a field goal.

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Alabama radio announcer looked a little salty after Texas A&M winning FG

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