The eruption of the La Palma volcano will not end in the short or medium term: the scientists' warning

The indicators that scientists monitor at the La Palma volcano, especially sulfur dioxide emissions, suggest that the end of the eruption it will not occur in the short or medium term, as confirmed by the spokesperson for the scientific committee of the Canary Islands Volcanic Emergency Plan (Pevolca), María José Blanco.
The volcano is throwing a plume of gases at an altitude of 3,000 meters with high amounts of sulfur dioxide, 17,774 tons per day, and that measure would have to drop to 100 to think that the eruption is coming to an end, the spokesperson said after a meeting in which the President of the Government, Pedro Sánchez, participated.
The other two parameters that determine the energy of the volcanic system, the ground deformation and seismicityThey also maintain stable values ​​with respect to previous days.
The technical director of Pevolca, Miguel Ángel Morcuende, has reported that the lava flow from the north flank of the volcano, which flows to the west and northwest and that on Tuesday forced the evacuation of about 800 residents of the La Laguna neighborhood, in Los Llanos de Aridane, “progresses very slowly” and there is the possibility that “aborts, that does not walk again.”
That wash is 200 meters from the coast, but its northwest arm, the one that crossed the Callejón de la Gata industrial estate diagonally on Tuesday, is the one that “loses steam”, while the wash that moves faster, a 50 meters per hour, and what moving south is “the one that accumulates more energy and thrust”he explained.
The latest data, corresponding to October 12, indicate that the lava covers 640.27 hectares, 27.94 more than the day before, and has widened to a maximum of 1,770 meters, 250 more.
For the information from the Copernicus satellites, there are 1,541 buildings or constructions affected, of which 1,408 were destroyed. The data obtained from the cadastre reduce the figure to 937, of which 763 for residential use, 89 for agricultural use, 45 industrial, 22 for leisure and hospitality and 18 for public use.
The eruption has so far forced the evacuation of 6,400 people, 5,700 in the first phase of the eruption and another 700 on Tuesday, but of the total there are about 6,000 residents and 400 tourists that were transferred to Tenerife. Of the evacuees, 280 people are housed in a hotel in the municipality of Fuencaliente.
With regard to air quality, in the last hours the parameters are within normal thresholds, except a point “little spike” of sulfur dioxide that immediately remitted, and the island’s airport, like those of the entire Canary Islands, is fully operational.
Weather forecasts suggest that this air operation will not be affected for at least the next four days, because a Saharan wind will blow from the continent that will direct the ashes towards the west.
However, dry air and a probable thermal inversion can be unfavorable for air quality on October 15 and 16. In the crater, the only novelty is that an emission has been reactivated on the southeast flank that has not led to new flows.
Faced with the dissemination of some information about the situation on La Palma, Miguel Ángel Morcuende insisted that the volcanic eruption affects only 8% of the surface of La Palma, so that the rest of the island is completely safe and tourist activities can be carried out normally.
He also stressed that the geological stability of the island building is “absolute” and that the fish has the same quality as always.

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