It wasn’t too difficult to doze off a bit late on Thursday evening at “Markus Lanz”: FDP politician Marco Buschmann had to bravely talk about his party’s tax plans and coalition ambitions for almost half an hour. As critical as Lanz asked, it was all in all a tough affair.
Politicians in election campaign mode – that’s not exactly rare these days. But when Lanz came up with the corona pandemic, the adrenaline level rose suddenly: The epdemiologist Alexander Kekulé used the opportunity of ZDF’s appearance in the valley to wake up with a view of rising incidences. He spoke of a threatening “autumn orcan” – a word that shortly after midnight actually had the effect of a double espresso.
With Markus Lanz, Kekulé is dramatic: “We are in the final of the pandemic”
However, as one is used to from him, Kekulé was also concerned with reconciliation and clarification, far from stirring up panic. He initially spoke of a relatively “comfortable situation” since 70 percent of adults had been vaccinated. “That is actually quite good,” said Alexander Kekulé. The vaccinations give you “a lot of buffer”. The medical burden is “quite well under control”.
“We are in the endgame of the pandemic,” the epidemiologist even believes. If one were to “open the floodgates now” in this country, like in England, then one would probably “not have such a high burden on the hospitals”.
The problem, however, is the threatening situation for the unvaccinated and especially the young: “The 12 to 18 year olds have only recently been vaccinated, they have not yet been immunized,” and it is “clear to the younger generation that they will not be vaccinated.” “.
On the other hand, it is also true that young infected people are less likely to get seriously ill. According to Kekulé, “the probability of a really serious or fatal course in children is well below 1: 100,000”.
But the boys would get “secondary collateral damage”: “Damage caused by the measures,” said Kekulé. In contrast to herpes viruses or streptococci, for example, a corona disease is not a general risk to life, but must be assessed as more dangerous. Because with Corona, nobody can accurately estimate the long-term consequences of illness in children and adolescents.
In no case could one say: “You have to accept that”, emphasized the epidemiologist and concluded: “There will be school closings when the incidence goes up.”
There would be no alternative, because: “You will not find an expert who will say that this virus never causes any damage to under-18-year-olds.”
Kekulé becomes clear: “Now we’re talking about school closings again”
Alexander Kekulé’s remarks on the status of the vaccinated were also informative: “They feel safe because they are healthy and do not get seriously ill, but this makes their behavior riskier,” said the doctor.
“The problem is that the vaccinated adults can still pass a high percentage of the virus on.” – Especially since they would often not even notice an infection or therefore no longer take cold symptoms so seriously.
Against this background, the director of the Institute for Medical Microbiology at the University Hospital Halle (Saale) also spoke out against the so-called 2G openings, as is now already practiced in Hamburg: “Because the vaccinated person thinks nothing can happen to me”, he may go “to the 2G disco” all too carelessly.
Surf tip: Information about the virologist – Alexander Kekule: age, wife, income
“Stealth Bomber” that is driving up the incidence
In fact, it is equally important for everyone to remain vigilant and cautious. According to previous figures, it can be assumed that around three to five out of ten vaccinated people could still pass the virus on, said Kekulé: “That means: we not only have the wave of the unvaccinated now in autumn, we also have an invisible wave of the vaccinated.”
He spoke of a “stealth bomber” that is driving up incidence – another word from the hello-wake category. While the elderly and the risk groups are now hardly threatened by it due to the high vaccination rate, it is now about the younger ones.
Markus Lanz could hardly believe it. “Now we’re talking about school closings again,” he interjected. “Yes,” replied Kekulé, and he too was of the opinion: “We have to prevent that.”
The fact is, however, that a seven-day incidence of over 500 is forecast for the beginning of October, unless countermeasures are taken – “an autumn orca”. But “the good news” is that this time it will not overload the hospitals.
News about the corona pandemic – RKI registers 6325 new corona infections – incidence at 81.1
Book tip: “All about Corona”
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