Ipsos Peru: 95.28% of the voting records "are within normal values"

Ipsos Peru carried out an investigation on 100% of the ONPE minutes and the results of the Quick Count of the second round between the candidates Pedro Castillo (Peru Libre) and Keiko Fujimori (Fuerza Popular) with the aim of identifying atypical cases. There they found that 95.28% of the records “are within normal values.”

According to this research, when comparing the results of the minutes with those of their respective locations, the atypical cases are similar for both candidates. In this graph you can see better:

When comparing the minutes with the district average, the result was not very similar either. They did not find that there are particularly concentrated atypical cases in any region. The distribution is equitable. If the votes of all the atypical cases of both parties were eliminated, the result would not change much and the order of the election would be maintained: First Castillo and then Fujimori.

Regarding the minutes in which one of the parties obtained 0 votes: Ipsos identified 234 tables with 0 votes for both candidates, mainly because they were annulled tables. In addition, in 70 other tables only Fuerza Popular did not obtain votes, and in 17 tables the same happened with Peru Libre.

But if those 87 tables were eliminated from the general accounting, the order between Castillo and Fujimori would not change, as can be seen in this table that Ipsos posted.

There they also point out that this investigation does not allow “to verify or rule out that there have been some manipulated records. However, there is no evidence of an atypical concentration of cases ”.

The study was carried out for the Instituto Pro Democracia, a non-profit think tank, made up of entrepreneurs and independent professionals.


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