In an election, voters do not always vote for the party or candidate that convinces them the most; sometimes they vote against the party they dislike the most. This theory, difficult to estimate in figures, gives the impression that it contributed to a certain extent to the result of the Madrid regional elections held yesterday with a truly extraordinary turnout and a very clear distribution of seats.

The results in figures and seats are well known at this time: the Popular Party candidate, Isabel Díaz Ayuso, alone surpassed the parties of the left and widely doubled her main rival, the PSOE candidate, who started as the winner. of the elections two years ago and that it was – apart from Ciudadanos, that did not reach the minimum necessary to enter the Assembly– the one that lost the most votes: it got less than More Madrid and, although it was tied in seats, it loses its status as leader of the opposition.

Both Más Madrid, which beat the PSOE, and Vox and Unidas Podemos improved their results. The right and left alternative was well cleared and Ayuso will be able to continue governing with the support of Vox, the formation that for his extreme and retrograde ideas it awakens greater resistance and even fear. It will undoubtedly be a good toad that the president will have to swallow if she is forced to include him in her government.

Today it is a manual that all the parties involved meet, some to celebrate and others to metabolize the results. All will reflect without a doubt and in a special way Citizens who see the cliff approach even closer, and the PSOE, which will have to do it more than starting from the disaster in Madrid, in a national key. The results of an autonomous election should not be extrapolated like that of Madrid or recently that of Catalonia in a national key.

But this argument cannot be taken at face value and less when the party most affected is the one that assumes the government of the country. Many analysts share the conviction that some citizens they turned around their traditional socialist vote to formulate it against. The government headed by Pedro Sánchez suffered a significant deterioration in these months plagued with difficulties and frequent mistakes. It was not easy to govern, but the errors were more eloquent.

We will have to see what happens in the coming weeks. The coalition with United We Can was not a success. He continually forced unpopular decisions and generated rejection in different social layers. Pablo Iglesias, who from the vice presidency that he occupied a year caused a lot of damage with his unfortunate interventions to institutional normality when it was most necessary. Last night he announced that he is leaving, that he is leaving the seat in the Madrid Assembly recently obtained and quit politics. Now we have to wait to see Sánchez’s reaction to this defeat that affects him so much.


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